Monday, June 20, 2011

Crises shaking the heart of the Syrian Regime:

We must assume that every actor in the political process is carrying some kind of rationale. If we work under this premise, Asad, in his speech today, sounded illogical, disconnected and having nothing to do with the reality of the Syrian political scene. Asad sounded like a creature living on a different planet.

Logically we should not accept this easy explanation. We should assume that Asad is guided by a certain rationality. Even when he is in denial, even while he is lying, one needs to uncover the rationality behind his speech.

From my point of view, today’s speech by Bashar Asad was a disguised declaration of defeat. Asad was not talking to the Syrians. He was not talking to the international community. He was not talking to the media. He was not even talking to the Alawiet. Asad was talking to two groups. The first is comprised of officers of the second and third ranks in the leadership of his 13 security apparatus and the Republican Guard. The second group is the “newly rich” who are in the league of his cousin Rami Makhlouf, many of whom are not Alawiet. The message aims to assure these two groups that he is still strong and standing his ground. His message is to invite them to support the regime and not defect on him. The question we need to ask is: are they defecting on him?

I believe the answer is yes. The orchestrated move of his cousin when he announced that he is sacrificing his wealth tells us that Assad requested the same sacrifice from these two groups in order to weather the storm. We can only guess what the answer was. But we know that their answer required that his cousin be the first to sacrifice his wealth for the survival of the regime. Thus, on Friday Makhlouf donated his income to the poor and needy, and on Monday, Assad “circled the wagons” bunkering to show them determination and ask the pillars of the regime to do the same. Put yourself in the shoes of these two groups and then Asad’s speech will make perfect sense. You will see how they will jump out faster than rats deserting a burning boat.

We are on the right road. We are moving in the right direction. Just keep on doing what we are doing. Syria shall be free.

Wednesday, June 15, 2011

Peaceful even if they kill a 100 a day

My friends repeat the question at several occasions: until when?
The number of the victims of the Syrian regime is knocking at the door of 1500. The list of victims is well diversified: children, women, old, youth, adults, and those who refused to shoot them. They are making long list of victims pointing the fingers to the shameless Syrian regime. They are unveiling the true nature of the Syrian regime and raise a waging finger in the face of the complicity of the silence of the international community.
My friends are in hurry. But our heroes in the street of Damascus understand perfectly what they are doing and their aim. They are building a new society. They believe that the tools and the goals, the target and the road, both had to be at the same level of morality. They refuse to kill and prefer to be killed. This is the high road they have chosen.
The answer is sample for those who like leaner thinking. What would be the number of victims without the peaceful choice? What would be the number on both sides? Is not both side innocent Syrians!
Our choice was to be peaceful struggle against the criminal machine of the Syrian regime. It is not based on the feeling of weakness. It is a conscious and ethical choice. Because we believe that the blood on both sides is a human blood. We believe that the new society we are looking forward to build should be on the bases of human power not on the power of oppression.

Saturday, June 11, 2011

عودة للمدونة

شغلتني السياسة والعمل السياسي عن هذه المدونة حتى انني نسيت وجودها، وفي عصر المعلوماتية لا شيئ يضيع فقد وجدها احد الأصدقاء فسألني عنها. فلا اعرف فيما إذا كان من الحكمة أن أعود لها وفيما اذا كنت سأتمكن من اعطائها حقها من الأهتمام والمثابرة. وأحد الأسئلة التي تطرح نفسها هو لغتها. فهل هناك حاجة لمدونة بالعربية أم أن الحاجة لأن تكون بالأنجليزية. لم اقرر بعد.